Rain Showers in Delhi Till Friday: Dry Weekend Likely

Key Takeaways:

• Delhi/NCR temperatures have remained above normal, with daytime temperatures reaching around 36°C.
• Light and patchy showers are likely today, with rainfall intensity and spread increasing on Wednesday and Thursday.
• The remnant effect of the weather activity may continue till Friday, followed by clearance during the weekend.
• A seasonal anticyclonic circulation over West and Central Rajasthan may pave the way for a staggered monsoon withdrawal next week.
• Forecast Validity: Next one week.

The impending withdrawal of the monsoon from Delhi is leading to frequent changes in the weather conditions over Delhi/NCR. The day temperature has been breaching the 35-degree mark for the last few days, touching even 36 degrees and staying well above normal. There were isolated light showers yesterday over some parts of Noida, but both the main observatories, Safdarjung and Palam, remained dry. Scattered rain and thundershowers are likely over the city and suburbs before the monsoon starts retreating, tentatively next week.

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Courtesy of the low-pressure area over Southwest Rajasthan and adjoining Gujarat and South Pakistan region, the western end of the monsoon trough is running well south of its normal position. The low-pressure area is likely to shift northward and weaken into a trough during the next 24 hours. The monsoon trough is likely to shift along with the low-pressure area.

There is a cyclonic circulation marked over Central and adjoining parts of North Pakistan. With the shift of the monsoon trough closer to the system, it is likely to become stronger. A further shift of the trough to the north, gaining proximity to the Delhi region, will become favourable for rain and thundershowers over Delhi/NCR during the next four days.

The showers are likely to be light and patchy today. The intensity and spread will increase over the next two days, Wednesday and Thursday. The remnant effect will last till Friday, and clearance will start on Saturday-Sunday. Thereafter, the likelihood of a seasonal anticyclonic circulation coming up over West and Central Rajasthan in the lower levels may issue marching orders for the retreat of the monsoon from the region, albeit in a staggered manner.

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