Heavy Rainfall Lash Delhi/NCR: More Showers During The Week

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Oct 12, 2026, 1:30 PM
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Representational Image: AI-Skymet

Key Takeaways:

  • 1. Heavy rain and thunderstorms affected Delhi-NCR for 5–6 hours on Monday morning, causing flight delays and traffic disruptions.
  • 2. Safdarjung recorded 42 mm of rainfall, while Palam registered 31 mm within approximately 2–3 hours.
  • 3. A fresh Western Disturbance and induced cyclonic circulation are likely to trigger further rain and thundershowers between October 13 and 16.
  • 4. Delhi's maximum temperature is unlikely to exceed 31°C today, with day and night temperatures expected to remain 2–3°C below normal.
  • Forecast Validity: October 12–16, 2026.

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Delhi/NCR was swept by heavy rain and thundershowers on Monday morning. The stormy weather started early in the morning and continued for 5–6 hours. The weather activity vacated the Palam and Safdarjung areas a little earlier but continued over Noida, Faridabad, and Ghaziabad for another two hours. The convective thunderstorm cells were steered by the upper-level westerly winds and shifted from west to east. Air operations were impacted due to bad weather, and there were rolling delays in arrivals and departures. Flight operations have returned to normal now. Weather conditions are likely to improve as the day progresses. However, off-and-on weather activity is expected during the week.

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Base station Safdarjung recorded 42 mm, and Palam registered 31 mm of rainfall in a span of about 2–3 hours. Overcast skies and light rain continued after the cessation of the heavy downpour. There was waterlogging in some areas, affecting commuting and resulting in traffic snarls. This was purely a temporary phase, and near-normal conditions have resumed. Such heavy showers do occur, primarily due to a change in air mass on account of the retreat of the monsoon, aided by some westerly systems. Rainfall variability is very high in October, more so for North India. Delhi has a normal rainfall of only 14.1 mm in this month. In the past 15 years, Delhi has recorded zero monthly rainfall on three occasions and in excess of 100 mm on two occasions. The highest monthly rainfall of 128.6 mm was registered in October 2022.

A fresh Western Disturbance is likely tomorrow over the northern mountains. Also, an induced cyclonic circulation will be present over North Pakistan and the border areas of Punjab and North Rajasthan. An east-west trough is likely to extend from the centre of the circulation to West Uttar Pradesh, remaining in proximity to Delhi. After the temporary break in weather activity during the day, more rain and thundershowers are expected over the next four days, between October 13 and 16. Temperatures will remain suppressed and are likely to hover in the low 30s. Today, the mercury is unlikely to breach the 31°C mark. Today, Safdarjung recorded a minimum temperature of 18.7°C, the lowest this month. Both day and night temperatures are likely to remain below normal by about 2–3°C. A broad clearance of weather activity is likely on and after October 17, 2025.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Safdarjung recorded 42 mm of rainfall, while Palam registered 31 mm in approximately 2–3 hours. The heavy showers also affected Noida, Ghaziabad, and Faridabad.

Yes. More rain and thunderstorms are expected between October 13 and 16 due to an approaching Western Disturbance, an induced cyclonic circulation, and an associated east-west trough.

October rainfall in Delhi can occur due to changing air masses during the retreat of the Southwest Monsoon, particularly when supported by Western Disturbances and associated weather systems.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.