Delhi Weather: Light Rain Today-Tomorrow, Heavy Showers Around the Weekend

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Delhi has recorded 238.5 mm of rainfall between August 1 and 12, against the monthly normal of 226.8 mm.
  • Light and patchy rainfall is expected across Delhi for the next two days as the monsoon trough remains south of the capital.
  • Rainfall activity is expected to increase on August 14 as the western end of the monsoon trough moves very close to Delhi.
  • Cloudy skies and intermittent rain are likely on August 15, while weather activity may become minimal again from August 16.
  • Forecast Validity: Next 2 to 3 days.

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For the last three days, Delhi has received mostly light rainfall. Base station Safdarjung recorded 4 mm and Palam 1.4 mm rainfall in the past 24 hours. All other observatories also registered rainfall amounts of less than 5 mm during this period. The total rainfall between 01st and 12th Aug stands at 238.5 mm, against the monthly normal of 226.8 mm. Rainfall is going to be light and patchy for the next two days and increase on Friday and Saturday.

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There is a low-pressure area over Northwest Madhya Pradesh and the East Rajasthan region. This has dragged the seasonal monsoon trough slightly south of its normal position. At the surface level, the trough passes through Bikaner, the centre of low pressure-Guna, Satna, Jamshedpur and dips into the fresh low-pressure area over the North Bay of Bengal. The trough is far to the south of Delhi, and it starts shifting north from tomorrow onwards, when the low pressure weakens over Madhya Pradesh. In the meantime, the freshly formed low-pressure area over the North Bay of Bengal will move inland, and the associated cyclonic circulation will get positioned over North Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and adjoining parts after 48 hours. The monsoon trough will get relocated, and the western end will find very close proximity to Delhi on Friday, 14th Aug. The trough will further shift to the north of Delhi on the weekend, 15th & 16th Aug 2026.

The distant position of the trough from Delhi will restrict any heavy rainfall for the next two days. Scattered and withered clouds will allow the day temperature to be 34°C (+/-1°C). The trough will pass through and through Delhi on 14th Aug and locate slightly north of it on 15th Aug. The intensity and spread of weather activity will be more on 14th Aug. Cloudy sky and intermittent rain are likely on 15th August, as well. The trough will have a tendency to shift closer to the foothills early next week. Accordingly, the weather activity will become minimal, yet again, from 16th Aug onwards.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Heavy rainfall is unlikely over the next two days as the monsoon trough remains well south of Delhi. Rainfall is expected to remain light and patchy.

The intensity and spread of rainfall are expected to increase on Friday, August 14, when the western end of the monsoon trough moves very close to Delhi.

Delhi is likely to have cloudy skies with intermittent rain on August 15 as the monsoon trough remains slightly north of the city.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.