Mumbai To Continue With Hot-Humid Conditions: Rains Unlikely

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
May 22, 2026, 2:30 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Mumbai has remained completely dry throughout May so far.
  • Temperatures have mostly stayed between 33°C and 35°C.
  • High humidity is increasing discomfort levels across the city.
  • No pre-monsoon showers are likely before monsoon onset in June.

Month of May has remained completely dry so far in Mumbai. The normal rainfall for the month of May is very low at 7.3 mm. The city and suburbs are unlikely to receive any rainfall during this month. Any wet spell, if it occurs, may spill over to the period just before the arrival of the monsoon.

The temperature has generally remained between 33°C and 34°C during this month so far. It has breached 35°C on four days but has always stopped short of 36°C. There has been no heat wave in the coastal city during this month. As such, heat wave conditions are not very common in Mumbai during May. The month of April, and sometimes even March, is more familiar with heat wave conditions. In the last 15 years, the day temperature has crossed the threshold mark of 37°C for a heat wave only twice in May.

The surface winds are persistently blowing from the west and southwest. The continuous flow of sea breeze restricts any sharp rise in temperature. The maximum temperature was 34.7°C yesterday and similar readings are expected today as well. Humidity levels remain very high and rarely drop below 60%, even during the peak afternoon hours. The combination of heat and humidity has raised the “feel-like” factor and amplified heat stress.

There is a cyclonic circulation over the east-central Arabian Sea. A low pressure area is likely to form over the same region during the next 48 hours. The circulation around the low pressure system will continue to push northerly winds along the Konkan Coast. The weather system over the Arabian Sea may intensify further, but it is expected to move away from the coastline. There is no likelihood of any pre-monsoon showers over Mumbai and its suburbs during this month. Hot and sultry weather will remain the highlight until the monsoon arrives in June.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Persistent sea breeze and the absence of strong rain-bearing systems near the coast have kept rainfall activity away from Mumbai.

The system is likely to move away from the coastline, reducing the chances of pre-monsoon showers over Mumbai.

No, Mumbai has not recorded heat wave conditions this May, as temperatures have stayed below the heat wave threshold.

Disclaimer: This content is based on meteorological interpretation and climatological datasets assessed by Skymet’s forecasting team. While we strive to maintain scientific accuracy, weather patterns may evolve due to dynamic atmospheric conditions. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.