Mid-Week Rain Likely In Delhi: Dry Weekend Ahead

By: AVM GP Sharma | Edited By: Arti Kumari
Oct 13, 2026, 12:30 PM
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Key Takeaways:

  • Delhi-NCR recorded a maximum temperature of 30.2°C following heavy rainfall, approximately 4°C below normal.
  • Temperatures may rise to 35°C before another spell of rain and thunderstorms associated with a western disturbance.
  • Intermittent rain and thundershowers are forecast around October 15-16, followed by improving weather conditions.
  • The weekend and following week are expected to bring pleasant weather, with daytime temperatures near 33°C and nighttime temperatures around 19°C.
  • Forecast Validity: October 14–20, 2026

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Delhi/NCR was swept by heavy rain and thundershowers on Monday morning. The stormy weather started early in the morning and continued for 5-6 hours. The weather activity vacated the Palam and Safdarjung areas a little earlier but continued over Noida, Faridabad, and Ghaziabad for another two hours. The convective thunderstorm cells were steered by the upper-level westerly winds and shifted from west to east. Air operations were impacted due to bad weather, and there were rolling delays in arrivals and departures. Flight operations have returned to normal now. Weather conditions are likely to improve as the day progresses. However, off-and-on weather activity is expected during the week.

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Base station Safdarjung recorded 42 mm, and Palam registered 31 mm of rainfall in a span of about 2-3 hours. Overcast skies and light rain continued after the cessation of the heavy downpour. There was waterlogging in some areas, affecting commuting and resulting in traffic snarls. This was purely a temporary phase, and near-normal conditions have resumed. Such heavy showers do occur, primarily due to a change in air mass on account of the retreat of the monsoon, aided by some westerly systems. Rainfall variability is very high in October, more so for North India. Delhi has a normal rainfall of only 14.1 mm in this month. In the past 15 years, Delhi has recorded zero monthly rainfall on three occasions and in excess of 100 mm on two occasions. The highest monthly rainfall of 128.6 mm was registered in October 2022.

A fresh western disturbance is likely tomorrow over the northern mountains. Also, an induced cyclonic circulation will be present over North Pakistan and the border areas of Punjab and North Rajasthan. An east-west trough is likely to extend from the centre of the circulation to West Uttar Pradesh, remaining in proximity to Delhi. After the temporary break in weather activity during the day, more rain and thundershowers are expected over the next four days, between October 13 and 16. Temperatures will remain suppressed and are likely to hover in the low 30s. Today, the mercury is unlikely to breach the 31°C mark. Today, Safdarjung recorded a minimum temperature of 18.7°C, the lowest this month. Both day and night temperatures are likely to remain below normal by about 2-3°C. A broad clearance of weather activity is likely on and after October 17, 2025.

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AVM GP Sharma
President of Meteorology & Climate Change
AVM Sharma, President of Meteorology & Climate Change at Skymet Weather Services, is a retired Indian Air Force officer who previously led the Meteorological Branch at Air Headquarters in New Delhi. With over a decade of experience at Skymet, he brings a wealth of knowledge and expertise to the organization.
FAQ

Heavy showers were associated with changes in air masses during the retreat of the Southwest Monsoon, aided by westerly weather systems. Such interactions can trigger intense thunderstorms over Delhi-NCR during October.

According to the supplied forecast, more rain and thundershowers are expected between October 13 and 16 due to a fresh western disturbance, an induced cyclonic circulation, and an east-west trough extending towards West Uttar Pradesh.

The forecast indicates intermittent weather activity until October 16, with broader clearance expected on and after October 17, 2025. Both day and night temperatures are expected to remain approximately 2-3°C below normal during the unsettled period.

Disclaimer: This analysis is based on Skymet’s proprietary weather database, internal forecast models, station observations, climatological datasets, and expert meteorological interpretation by the Skymet Weather team. While every effort is made to ensure scientific accuracy, weather conditions are dynamic and may evolve over time. This assessment is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered an absolute or guaranteed prediction.

Skymet is India’s most accurate private weather forecasting and climate intelligence company, providing reliable weather data, monsoon updates, and agri-risk management solutions across the country.