The display of varied weather and rain behavior can also be seen in the two meteorological sub-visions of Madhya Pradesh, namely east Madhya Pradesh and west Madhya Pradesh. Even though adjacent, the sub-divisions exhibit different rainfall pattern for the monsoon season.
While the normal seasonal rainfall for west Madhya Pradesh is 876 mm, it is estimated to be 1051 mm for east Madhya Pradesh. The reason for this is the proximity of the monsoon system to east M.P.
But even though west Madhya Pradesh experience less rain than east Madhya Pradesh, the overall performance for the southwest monsoon in the months of June, July, August and September happens to be better for western parts of Madhya Pradesh. In 2013, west Madhya Pradesh observed a 46% rain surplus and east Madhya Pradesh had 26% rain surplus, in 2012 it was 14% rain surplus and 3% rain deficit respectively. In 2011 as well, west M.P. faired with a rain surplus of 21% as against east M.P.’s rain surplus of 14 per cent.
The trend is similar for this year as well. Though the monsoon has been weak for the country and Madhya Pradesh was not behind, West M.P. performed better than the east M.P. While the cumulative rain from 1st June to 31st July was 6% deficit for west M.P. and 23% deficit for east M.P., it has been 27% deficit for east M.P. and 20% deficit for the period starting from 1st June till date.
In the next few days the situation is expected to improve for west M.P. as the share of rain showers are anticipated to be higher for western M.P. in comparison to eastern M.P.