A weak Western Disturbance is arriving on November 23rd. The system is expected to have a short stay and will remain on the weaker side. In fact, the majority of its effect will only remain confined to the mid and higher reaches, with the maximum effect over the higher reaches. In lower reaches, only light rains might be seen in places including Banihal, Srinagar, Patnitop etc.
As far as the foothills of Jammu and Kashmir are concerned, Udhampur, Jammu, Kathua, Samba will not see rain.
Further fall in temperatures will be arrested as the system arrives which is for the next couple of days. However, temperatures will be back to normal around November 25, when the system moves away.
As far as the frequency of Western Disturbances is concerned, the month of November does not see many active Western Disturbances. In fact, as compared to the other winter months, November is the least affected month as systems pick up only in December. For November, the stay of the systems is generally short, and the passage is fast.
For the plains, the only effect will be seen in terms of temperatures. The temperatures will see a rise when the system arrives and see a drop when it clears.