The first 14 days of October, Central India has recorded 29% surplus rain. During the last 24 hours, moderate to heavy rains occurred over many parts of Konkan and Goa and Madhya Maharashtra as well as isolated pockets of Marathwada. The Costal Odisha also recorded moderate rains with one or two heavy spells.
The well-marked low-pressure area is moving over the northeast and adjoining east-central Arabian Sea. Rain activities will reduce over Southern parts of Maharashtra for the next 2 to 3 days.
A trough will extend from the east-central Arabian Sea to Chhattisgarh across South Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh. Rain activities will commence over Southern districts of Chhattisgarh, southern parts of Madhya Pradesh and South Gujarat by October 16. Rain activities will gradually cover central and northern parts of Madhya Pradesh as well as Gujarat.
Between October 16 and 19, many districts of Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat will receive light to moderate rain and thundershower activities, with few short isolated intense spells. Chances of heavy to very heavy rains have been ruled out. These rains can be termed as unseasonal.
As by 10th of October, Monsoon withdraws from most parts of Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh. By October 15, monsoon withdraws completely from Central India. The successive low pressure and depressions which formed in the Bay of Bengal in the month of October, are moving in the westerly direction across Central India. That is the reason, this year withdrawal of monsoon is delayed, and Central India is receiving good rain and thundershower activities.
Unseasonal rains are harmful to Kharif crop as harvesting is still not over in many parts of Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Gujarat. These rains may damage the crops or may affect the yield of the crops.