Ten days Monsoon forecast

Skymet came out with its 10 days Monsoon forecast on the 2^nd of July and the predictions have been more or less accurate. Click here to know more.

As of 2^nd July, the northern limit of monsoon (NLM) passed through Veraval, Surat, Nashik, Wasim, Damoh, Lucknow, Bareilly, Ambala and Amritsar. As predicted by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, in the last 10 days the NLM has covered entire Delhi/NCR, rest of Punjab and Haryana.The Monsoon line has reached north Rajasthan, touching Bikaner, but rain is yet to occur in the parched state.

As of 12th July, the Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Veraval, Surat, Indore, Shivpuri, Alwar and Bikaner.

Here’s an outlook for Southwest Monsoon for the next 10 days-

First 3 days (12^th, 13^th , 14^th )

• Rain has been deficit in most parts of the country till date but good rain is in the offing for the next few days.
• Particularly, Central, East and the West Coast of India will receive good rain during this time.
• The cyclonic circulation over Bay of Bengal has been travelling inland and has already brought good rain over Odisha , Andhra coast  and Chhattisgarh. It will travel further towards Central India and continue to bring rain over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and further to west Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat.
• Some parts of Saurashtra will also receive rain.
• After a long dry spell, Gujarat finally receives some rain and conditions now seem conducive for further advancement of Southwest Monsoon to cover entire Madhya Pradesh, south east Rajasthan and entire Gujarat, leaving Kutch region.

Next 3 days (15^th, 16^th , 17^th )

• Rain to continue over Central India.
• The rain belt will extend and will cover parts of Uttar Pradesh, Delhi/NCR, Punjab, Haryana, along with entire Madhya Pradesh. A good spell of rain is likely in these parts.
• Southwest Monsoon will further advance to cover some more parts of Rajasthan.

Last 3 days (18^th, 19^th , 20^th )

• Rain will recede in Central India, Gujarat and Rajasthan.
• Southwest Monsoon will engulf the entire country leaving aside extreme west Rajasthan and Kutch region.

In the next 10 days, Monsoon rain in Northeast India will remain confined to the foothills, Sub Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim. Weather activity will be less over Assam Valley and the states of Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura. Places across the country, being highly rain deficit will see good rain in the coming 10 days. No significant Monsoon system will develop in the Bay or the Arabian Sea.