Ten days Monsoon forecast- 22nd to 31st August

In last ten days, no significant rain has been observed in the country, except for Northeast, West coast and parts of Southern peninsula. This is an indication of a break monsoon as explained in our earlier article 'Monsoon in India takes a break'. However, now there is a system developing off Kerala coast in the Arabian Sea which is likely to increase the intensity of rain in the coastal regions of Kerala, Karnataka and Maharashtra.

Let’s take a look at the Southwest Monsoon in India for the coming ten days-  

22^nd to 25^th August

• One odd place in Jammu and Kashmir may experience rain during this period
• West coast and some parts of Maharashtra, Gujarat and Vidarbha will observe increase in rainfall activity. Mumbai, Pune and Goa are likely to experience rain for three days
• Central and East India will also have scattered rain, while in the Northeast showers will continue for the entire period
• South India will also continue experiencing rain. Showers will be fairly widespread in Lakshadweep, kerala and parts of Karnataka.

26^th to 28^th August

• Rainfall will almost be nil in Northwest India and temperatures will be on the rise
• West coast and some parts of Maharashtra, Gujarat and Vidarbha will observe a marginal decrease in intensity of rain during this time
• Central India will observe light rain, while the intensity will increase in East India including east Uttar Pradesh. This may hamper recovery work in the flood-hit areas
• The weather will continue to remain the same i.e. continued rainfall activity in South and Northeast India

29^th to 31^st August

• During this period a system is likely to develop in the west central Bay of Bengal and move gradually inland and cause fairly widespread rainfall in Central India, thus reviving Monsoon over Central and Northwest India.
• The weather in Northwest India will be mainly dry and uncomfortable during this period also
• Rainfall will continue in West, Central and South India in these three days
• East and Northeast India are likely to experience decrease in rainfall, as a system develops in Bay