The southwest Monsoon currents are expected to reach the northwest plains in the next 2-3 days. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India normal monsoon rain could be observed till the 26th June over Delhi and adjoining areas, parts of Punjab and Haryana and west Uttar Pradesh. There may be some more rain after this period but activity will be subdued at large.
At the time of writing this article, Monsoon line was near Sultanpur in east Uttar Pradesh. Forecast indicates that during the week, this line will now travel westward and cover entire Uttar Pradesh during the next few days. The cities that would witness their first Monsoon rain are Kanpur and Lucknow.
In Bihar and West Bengal, Monsoon rain would turn subdued as the the low pressure area over Bangladesh and adjoining West Bengal would weaken and there is no weather system developing in the Bay.
In the next ten days, Central India would also come under the influence of the southwesterly winds as Monsoon will cover Madhya Pradesh.
Along the West Coast, Monsoon rain would continue to occur throughout the next ten days but it will lack lack in intensity as there is no weather system that could spur the rain.
During the first five days, Telangana, Seemandhra, Marathwada, Vidarbha and parts of Chhattisgarh will witness subdued Monsoon rain and thereafter rain could pick up in these areas.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, in the normal circumstances, during the first ten days after arriving at the Kerala coast, Monsoon advances faster along the West coast than East coast. In next ten days, the Eastern arm of Monsoon advances and covers East coast and parts of East India over east Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, West Bengal and Jharkhand. Thereafter, both arms of the Monsoon advances to cover the entire country with the western arm moving relatively slower than the eastern arm. So parts of Gujarat especially that of Kutch could witness delay in arrival of Monsoon rain.
However, it is expected that in the next ten days from 23rd June to 1st July, monsoon rain would cover the northern parts of the country including Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, west Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand. But going by what has been witnessed in the last ten days, it could be said that overall the Monsoon is 30 per cent deficit till now.
