The month of August has seen a series of Monsoon systems that were of moderate nature. Most of the systems have been running across the central parts that is from Odisha to Chhattisgarh and then further towards Rajasthan and Gujarat. These moderate rains have helped in wiping the deficiency levels and states have become either surplus or just near normal.
On August 1, Central India was rain deficit by four percent and now it is rain surplus by 13%. Likewise, Chhattisgarh, Odisha, East Madhya Pradesh, West Rajasthan, Gujarat and Saurashtra, and Kutch on August 1 were rain deficit by 13%, 22%, 18%, 30%, 11% and 30%, respectively and now they are almost near-normal or surplus. Like Chhattisgarh, Odisha, East Madhya Pradesh are rain deficit by minus one percent. While West Rajasthan, Gujarat and Saurashtra and Kutch for now is rain surplus by 8%, 15%, and 17%, respectively.
The values tell us that the weather systems have contributed towards these rain figures.
Till now nearly five systems have moved and are forming quickly one after the other. The normal life span of these weather systems after moving inland has been three days. Most of the systems are offshoots of the systems which are coming from the China Sea. Then they move across North Vietnam, Laos, Thailand and Burma and finally gives birth to a new system post gaining strength in the Bay of Bengal.
Now, again another Cyclonic Circulation is over Northwest Bay of Bengal and its adjoining areas. Yet another system is likely to form in the next 24 hours and will move westward and waiting in the wings at the moment is a Depression in East Philippines which is likely to intensify into a storm. This system will enter the South China Sea and weaken and then cross North Vietnam, Laos, Thailand and Burma. It will possibly then emerge in the Bay of Bengal and will form a system around August 2 or 3. It is being expected that this system could be a strong one in comparison to the previous systems.
The Low-Pressure Area which is likely to form in the next 24 hours will give subdued rain activities between August 27 to 29. However, the ascendant system will move right across the central parts and travel towards East Rajasthan and is expected to give more weather activities at the start of September. It is being believed that this system could probably be the last one to visit West Rajasthan.
Image Credits – Firstpost
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