Country has witnessed a marginal decline in the rainfall activity during the last few days of September. From 11th to 15th of September, the country has observed 4.2 mm rainfall against the normal of 6.1 mm. The national cumulative deficiency is still maintaining at 11%, though with the marginal increase.
As we enter into the second week of September, the normal daily average rainfall figures are expected to reduce - from 6 mm of rainfall to 4 or 4.5 mm of rainfall. Country will witness very less rain showers which indicates the withdrawal of southwest monsoon from several parts of the country.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, region of Northwestern and central India will see drastic reduction in the rainfall activity, whereas significant activity will only be confined to East, Northeast and Southern India. Even these areas will not witness heavy showers during the withdrawal phase. However, if there is a heavy spell, it will be location specific, isolated activity.
Monsoon in India started on a poor note this year, with the national cumulative deficit being 43% in June, 22% in July and 17% in August. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, this year, Southwest Monsoon is likely to withdraw from west Rajasthan anytime in the coming week.
The prevailing situation now seems conducive for the withdrawal of Monsoon as there has not been any rain in west Rajasthan in the last few days. The cities of Barmer, Bikaner, Jodhpur and Jaisalmer have recorded nil rainfall. However, east Rajasthan has been receiving some rain.
