With a significant, meaningful rainy spell towards the end of September, Southwest Monsoon has bid farewell to North India. However, rains have continued over parts of Peninsular India, East and Northeast India. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the trend is expected to continue during the first half of October.
Below than normal rainfall and a later-than-normal withdrawal from northern and central parts of India has pushed the countrywide cumulative rainfall deficiency to 14%.
Monsoon rains that typically withdraw from northern parts of the country do not fail to persist over Peninsular India throughout the first half of October. Weather systems closer to West Coast and East Coast remain instrumental in bringing rain over Tamil Nadu and other parts of Peninsular India for first fortnight of October. East and Northeast India witness frequent spells of rain during this period as well.
This time too, a cyclonic circulation is present over Arabian Sea which will give rain over parts of West Coast including Maharashtra during next 48 hours. A weather system in the Bay of Bengal that is witnessing favourable conditions for its further intensification is likely to give rain over Odisha, West Bengal, and Andhra Pradesh during next few days.
Owing to a brief push of moisture, this weather system could bring some rainfall back to Chhattisgarh, Bihar, Jharkhand, East Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh as the week approaches.
Frequent showers and thunderstorms during October are likely to end the prolonged dry spell over parts of Northeast India.
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