Jammu is a foot hill city of Jammu and Kashmir state and the weather in the city is almost similar to that observed in Punjab. Due to its weather characteristics, the city is also the winter capital of the state as intense cold grips Kashmir including Srinagar during the winter season.
With 79 mm of rain, February is the rainiest month for Jammu, followed by January that observes 52 mm of rain and December, which records 38 mm of average rainfall. The weather in the city usually gets influenced by Western Disturbances and induced cyclonic circulations witnessed in Rajasthan and its adjoining areas.
Sometimes both the weather systems act in tandem to give intense weather in the city. This is exactly what has happened in Jammu. In last 24 hours from 8.30 am on Monday, Jammu recorded 40.2 mm of rain, which is the highest amount recorded in a decade. The one day rainfall has surpassed half the average rainfall of February. The previous record of highest 24 hour rainfall was of 36.4 mm, observed on February 11, 2007.
Meanwhile, the Western Disturbance which is still present over Jammu and Kashmir is likely to give more rain in Jammu, which will push the rainfall figures even higher. In a week time another WD is likely to hit the region and we can expect some more rain.
As we have already said that February is the rainiest month for the city during winters, chances of more weather systems affecting Jammu during the entire month is therefore high.