As of today, the Pan India rainfall deficiency stands at -7 percent. Most of this deficiency comes from East and Northeast India. In fact, Northeast India is the bigger brunt bearer as compared to the eastern parts of the country. In this region, Gangetic West Bengal is the only region which has performed a shade better with a deficiency of -14 percent. Rest all of these areas have remained highly deficient. Usually, Monsoon systems tracks balance the pattern of rains.
The situation leading to this type of pattern can be attributed to the systems tracking to central parts of the country. Due to this, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh have performed are normal wherein most o them are on the positive side only.
During the month of July, some of the systems occurred for a short duration which recovered the dire deficiency of Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and Jharkhand.
However, the last two systems which have tracked the central parts gave no rains over the eastern areas. Therefore, the deficiency has once again risen over East India with Jharkhand battling -28 percent rain deficiency and Bihar seeing 29 percent deficient rains.
The state of Uttar Pradesh had also gone close to the normal levels but since the last few days, rains have been occurring over Central India only.
Now, a low pressure is likely to form in the Bay of Bengal which is promising a track across West Bengal, Jharkhand, Bihar and Uttar Pradesh further up.
Thus, rainfall activity will be persisting over the Indo Gangetic Plains in phases. East India including East Uttar Pradesh have already seen some rains and more are in the offing.
Thereafter, as the system moves, it will cover Madhya Pradesh particularly the western parts of the state. In fact, West Uttar Pradesh will also see some rains and will continue until August 27.
The system is also expected to give some rains over Delhi during the next week or so. This system is moving along the normal position of the Monsoon trough which will enhance the rain activity further.
Image Credit: india.com
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