Rains to visit most parts of India on February 11 and 12

February 11, 2018 10:00 AM | Skymet Weather Team

Rain in India has been disappointing so far, with most parts of the country settling with large rainfall deficiency. However, rains are now all set to make a comeback, not over the few areas but over the majority of the states.

According to weathermen, a promising spell of rainfall is expected ahead. All thanks to the multiple weather systems forming over the country that would give rains of varying intensity. Weather activities ranging from snow to rains, thundershowers, hailstorm, and squally winds all would be witness during the season.

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To begin with, a fresh Western Disturbance is approaching Jammu and Kashmir, which is also touted to be an active one. It has also induced a cyclonic circulation over South Rajasthan and adjoining areas Gujarat. According to Skymet Weather, whenever both these systems form together, they tend to give widespread rain and thundershowers over Northwest India

The Western Disturbance would start affecting the weather over Jammu and Kashmir by the late evening of February 10.

As the system moves eastwards, both the intensity and spread of the rainfall activity would also increase. By February 11, most parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and parts of Uttarakhand would start witnessing light to moderate rain and snow.

Click the image above to see the live lightning and thunderstorm across Asia

The activity is likely to peak on February 12, wherein all the three hilly states stand a fair chance of moderate to heavy rain and snow. The threat of avalanche also looms large during this time.

During the same time, induced circulation would change the wind pattern over the northwestern plains of North Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi-NCR and West Uttar Pradesh by February 10. Light to moderate rains would begin over these regions by January 11 and would continue till February 12.

Not only this, this cyclonic circulation would be attracting humid winds from Arabian Sea that would be reaching Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Telangana and even up to Rayalaseema. Meanwhile, an anti-cyclone is also marked over Odisha and West Bengal. With this, humid winds from Bay of Bengal are blowing over Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh.

Thus, winds from opposite direction are interacting with each other, forming a wind confluence zone over Central and East India. This zone would be responsible for giving rains over Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Telangana, Rayalaseema, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and East Uttar Pradesh from February 10-12. The majority of rainfall would again concentrate around February 12. Few spells of hailstorm also cannot be ruled out over parts of Maharashtra.

Major cities such as Delhi, Chandigarh, Jaipur, Lucknow, Agra, Patna, Indore, and Gaya would see some good rainy spells.

Down south, an off-shore trough is seen running along the West Coast from Karnataka to Kerala. With this, light showers cannot ruled out over parts of Kerala, Karnataka and Interior Tamil Nadu.

According to Skymet Weather, all these systems would be complimenting each other that would enhance the rainfall over the country in the next 24-48 hours. Only parts that would not see any impact of these weather systems would be Gujarat, Coastal Maharashtra, Coastal Tamil Nadu and northeastern states.

Further, rainfall activity would start reducing around February 13, but remnants of the systems would continue to give isolated rainfall over some places.

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