Monsoon is turning out to be a rather positive performer for Central India. So much so, that the country is running 3% excess as of September 13. And not to mention a major contributor to this rain performance figure is the state of Gujarat.
Gujarat has fared amazingly well this Monsoon season. At present, the state of Gujarat is running rain surplus by a total of 32%. Sub-division vise both Gujarat as well as Saurashtra and Kutch region are running rain surplus by 23% and 48% respectively.
Halfway through the season, the picture was different, and a significant rain deficiency was prevailing over the state. Moreover, an almost drought-like condition was prevalent.
However, August brought a turnaround to the situation, being the rainiest month of the season. The infamous Vadodara floods with crocodiles taking rounds of residential areas this August is still an unforgettable scene. Not just Vadoadara but floods were witnessed back in major cities such as Ahmedabad and Surat as well.
By August end, the month-wise rain performance was 118% surplus for Saurashtra and Kutch, while Gujarat was 75% rain excess.
The withdrawal of Monsoon from West coast of India can take place anytime soon. Yet, more rains seem to lie ahead for the region.
In the next 24 hours, fair amount of rains are likely over Gujarat. Some heavy showers might also be witnessed over the northern half of the state starting from Ahmedabad, Gandhinagar, Deesa, Mehsana, Patan up to Sabarkantha. Other parts like that of Surat, Bhuj, Navsari and Bulsad will see moderate rains. While Saurashtra and Kutch will see light rains.
Though, tomorrow onward the situation will ease out a little. However, light rains will continue with chances of moderate spells over South Gujarat.
As soon as the withdrawal commences over Rajasthan, rains in Gujarat also get subdued, beginning with Saurashtra and Kutch and then over other parts. Monsoon withdrawal might take places over the state as soon as within a week, around September 20 or so. There are high chances that this Monsoon might end on a highly surplus note.
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Any information taken from here should be credited to Skymet Weather