The northeastward moving cyclonic circulation will then meet the other cyclonic circulation associated with the expected Western Disturbance over Jammu & Kashmir slated to move in an eastward direction after arriving on 15 February.
“A Western Disturbance will start affecting north Pakistan and J&K from 14th Feb. On 15th a cyclonic circulation would develop somewhere near south Rajasthan. It will move in a north easterly direction and by 16th it will be near Delhi and gradually further move eastwards.” Palawat said.
Palawat further states that during its development on 14th February, the low pressure area or the cyclonic circulation will usher rain in southeast Rajasthan and nearby areas of Madhya Pradesh.
By 15th of February, rain with chances of hailstorm would intensify over most parts of north and northwest. Snowfall will occur over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand in the Western Himalayan region while Punjab, Delhi, Haryana, Rajasthan and west Uttar Pradesh in the plains will receive rain and hail on 15th and 16th of February. There are chances of hailstorm over Delhi and northern plains on 15th and 16th February.
On 16th, the low pressure area emerged over south Rajasthan will merge with the Western Disturbance while moving northeastwards. Rest parts of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand and Chhattisgarh will receive rain at many places post 16th onwards.