The flood situation over Bihar and North East India is expected to be grim on account of incessant rains in the catchment areas. Rivers do not seem to be swelling down and the threat of inundation continues to loom large over a vast area.
There are encouraging signs for the farm sector and agriculture operations. These are progressing smoothly with Kharif crops recording 21% higher sown area as compared to the corresponding period of last year. The acreage of all major Kharif crops such as paddy, pulses, coarse cereal, and oilseeds have overtaken last year’s performance. Achieving these milestones despite lockdown restrictions in the early phase is praiseworthy and will steer and save the economy in the coming days. A fairly stable distribution if Monsoon rainfall, both in terms of space and time, especially over the central and eastern parts of the country is raising expectations of Kharif this season. In anticipation of a bumper harvest, but poor domestic demands, agriculture-based industries like textiles, dairy, sugarcane, and soybean processing are seeking the government’s incentive to increase exports.
A cyclonic circulation is expected to form in the Bay of Bengal. This system will traverse through the central and northern parts of the country giving a wet start to the month of August also this weather system will provide relief to the flood-stricken state of Bihar towards the end of the week.
North India
The northward shift of the Monsoon trough with an embedded cyclonic circulation over West Uttar Pradesh is going to enhance the rainfall activity all along the Indo- Gangetic plains. Punjab, Haryana, Delhi NCR, and Uttar Pradesh are expected to have fairly widespread rains and thundershowers with a few heavy spells between 28-30th of July. Most parts of Rajasthan are likely to have rain on the last two days of the week. The hilly areas will observe light weather activity except for Uttarakhand which is expected to have intense rains between 27th and 30th July.
East and North-East India
The rains are going to be heavy and widespread for the region between 27th and 31st July and slowly ease out thereafter. Flood situation, both over Bihar and Northeast India will become worse due to incessant rains in the catchment areas. Lightning strikes are also likely with squally weather conditions over most parts. A cyclonic circulation appearing over the Bay of Bengal will bring some relief from the incessant rains and floods as well towards the fag end of the week.
Central parts
Monsoon rains will be moderate to heavy over the region for the entire week. The second half of the week will be wetter than the first one to witness intense weather activity. The last two days will observe rigorous Monsoon conditions with Monsoon showers lashing Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Gujarat, and Konkan. After a week-long lull, Mumbai is expected to pick up good rains on the 1st and 2nd of August.
South Peninsula
The week is going to commence with mild Monsoon activity over most parts. Due to subdued rains, seasonal deficiency over Kerala is going to increase further. Kerala and Tamil Nadu will be the least active pocket this week. South interior Karnataka and Telangana are likely to have moderate to heavy rains during mid-week.
Delhi NCR
The capital city and neighbourhood is going to observe a week with rains of varying intensity. Heavy showers are expected between the 28th and 30th of July. Cloudy sky and intermittent rains will suppress the day temperature to remain in low 30s.
Chennai
The first half of the week is going to be warm and humid without any significant rains. The second half is expected to be cloudy with a few showers over many parts mostly, occurring in the evening. The sea breeze is likely to be more prominent in the first half of the week.
Footnote
Skymet issues Orange alert for flood over Bihar and North East India.