A western disturbance will soon come in North India to give rain. The last two seasonal systems have been weak, with little rain or snowfall on the mountains. From the mountains to the plains states, the weather has been mainly clear and dry for a week. The next effective western system will reach the states of North India on 26 December i.e. after Christmas, when many cities will see rain. There will also be snowfall on the mountains.
Currently, between October 1 and December 21, North India received 32% less rainfall than normal. In different states, Delhi has received 96% less rainfall, Uttar Pradesh 80%, Uttarakhand 67%, Ladakh 66%, Rajasthan 63%, Haryana 49%, Chandigarh 31%, Punjab 5%, Jammu and Kashmir 4%, and Himachal Pradesh 3% less rainfall.
Statistics show that there has been some improvement in the mountains and in Punjab due to the recent rains and snowfall, while the conditions in the plains states are mainly drought-like. The situation is worrying for Uttar Pradesh because the western parts of the state received less rainfall during the monsoon season.
Meanwhile, there will be rain from the upcoming Western Disturbance, from mountains to the plains. An active western disturbance will be over north India on 26 December and will remain in effect till 27 December. Light to moderate rain and snowfall is expected at most places from Jammu and Kashmir to Ladakh, Himachal and Uttarakhand on December 26 and 27.
A circulation will also be over the plains during this period, due to which light rain may occur at some places in the cities of Punjab, Haryana and western Uttar Pradesh. Rest of Northwest India including Delhi will see partly cloudy but no rain.
Meanwhile, the effect of northwest winds will increase again from December 22 to 25, due to which the temperature will start to fall again. That is, there may be a return of cold wave in the plains before Christmas.
