The month of June was a good one for the four-month long Southwest Monsoon season as rain activity was in abundance. During this period, Northwest India witnessed surplus rains of 52 percent. In fact, except East and Northeast India, all other parts of India witnessed surplus rains with the highest surplus being in Northwest India. Thus, June ended with a surplus of 4 percent in terms of the countrywide cumulative rainfall.
Coming to the month of July, rains ended at a surplus of 2 percent across the country which implies that rains were lesser as compared to June. Not only this, rains were on the lower side over South Peninsula and the rainfall surplus of 8 percent drooped to a 17 percent deficient rains by July. Not only this, the 52 percent surplus in Northwest India also reduced to 18 percent by the end of July.
In the month of August, rains reduced further with the countrywide cumulative rain ending with 3 percent deficiency. The lowest rain receiving area was Northwest India whose 18 percent surplus reduced to a deficiency of 3 percent.
By the end of August, almost all the meteorological sub divisions ended on a deficient note. While South India was rain deficient by 7 percent, Central India by 5 percent, Northwest India by 3 percent. The only region where rains were normal was East and Northeast India.
[yuzo_related]
During first three days of September, few good spells of rain were witnessed by various regions including South Peninsular India, Northern plains as well as East India. However, rains have reduced significantly over most parts. As on September 3, Monsoon is deficient by 4 percent.
Forecast for September
As per Skymet Weather’s Forecast, Monsoon is expected to end at a deficiency of 5 percent which means rains between June and September will be 95 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA). If we take the forecast for the next 10 days in consideration, Monsoon will begin to withdraw from West Rajasthan as the Axis of Monsoon Trough has already shifted over foothills and dry northwesterly winds have commenced over Northern Plains.
Also, now, no significant weather system will develop over Northwest India which will bring down the axis. Thus, we expect that dry weather will continue over most parts of Northwest India for at least one week.
However, Central India and South Peninsula will continue with scattered rains. On the positive side, during the next 8 to 10 days, the states of Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh which are highly rain deficient will witness good showers. The eastern parts of the country will not get enough rains, but the Northeast region of India will once again witness good showers.
Image Credit: ndtv.com
Please Note: Any information picked from here must be attributed to skymetweather.com