The entire state of Madhya Pradesh has not received any rainfall activity for the last many days. Due to this, at present, it is the most rain deficient state in the country. In fact, West Madhya Pradesh is rain deficient by 96% and East Madhya Pradesh by 97%.
During the post Monsoon season, rains over Madhya Pradesh have reduced significantly. The state usually receives rain due to the westward movement of any strong weather system which forms over Bay of Bengal and reaches towards the central parts of India and finally over Madhya Pradesh.
Sometimes a north-south trough forms from North India to Madhya Pradesh along with an active Western Disturbance over Jammu and Kashmir. Thus, due to this Madhya Pradesh receives rains. However, until now no such weather system has formed which would have given rains over Madhya Pradesh.
Now, we expect weather to remain dry over the state for at least next five days. But after that a trough is expected to form over Vidarbha and Madhya Pradesh around December 10. Due to this, we expect scattered rains to occur over the state on December 10 and 11.
Central and eastern parts of Madhya Pradesh will receive rains, while northwest and northern districts would remain dry.
Another spell of rains is expected around December 15 and 16, when the low-pressure area will form over West central Bay of Bengal will move towards east Madhya Pradesh.
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