Hills of North India including the states of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand have been receiving moderate to heavy showers for the past many days. End of July and beginning of August has seen the axis of the Monsoon trough running close to the foothills which were responsible for giving good rains.
During the last two to three days, due to the influence of a well marked low pressure area over central parts of the country, axis of the Monsoon trough shifted southward towards Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh. However, these three hilly states did record moderate to heavy rains due to the persistence of a cyclonic circulation over Jammu and Kashmir.
The last 24 hours had seen moderate to heavy showers with Gulmarg witnessing 34 mm of rain, Manali 11 mm, Mandi 8 mm, Tehri 7 mm, Qazi Gund 8 mm, Dehradun 11 mm, and Chamba 3 mm.
Now, rainfall activities are likely to reduce over the hills of North India for the next 24 hours. However, the axis of Monsoon trough will once again shift towards North over the foothills by August 11 due to the weakening of the weather system over Madhya Pradesh.
Thus, the intensity of rains over these three states will once again increase. Therefore, rains will continue. No relief from landslides, mudslides is expected.
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