Mumbai has skipped typical ‘Mumbai Rains’ for the last one week. Mostly single-digit rainfall during this period and that too very light and short spells. A total of only 54 mm of rainfall has been recorded in the last seven days which is miniscule by Mumbai standards in monsoon. The city earlier had a deluge in July, amassing 1703.7mm of rainfall, the second highest ever on record. The first half of the season is surplus by 53% rainfall. Normal rainfall for August reduces to 585.2mm and for September, further less to 341.4mm.
Heavy rains are expected to come up for Mumbai on Sunday, 04th Aug 2024. Next two days, the monsoon showers will generally be light and sometimes moderate, briefly. Intensity and spread will pick up on Sunday and heavy weather activity is expected in the evening and night. Before the week starts on Monday for officegoers, the conditions become better as the day progresses.
Heavy rains in Mumbai will be attributable to the passage of a low-pressure area across Madhya Pradesh and North Madhya Maharashtra. Currently, the low-pressure area is marked over Jharkhand and Gangetic West Bengal. It is supported by an organized cyclonic circulation with an east-west axis oriented and passing through Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh. The weather system will be moving westward and placed over east and central Madhya Pradesh by tomorrow. Moving further westward, it is likely to come over Southwest Madhya Pradesh and North Madhya Maharashtra on 04th Aug. This position of the monsoon system is taken as favourable for strengthening the monsoon surge along the Konkan Coast.
The surge of monsoon westerlies from the Arabian Sea will strike ‘head on’ the Konkan Coast. Mumbai will have inclement weather conditions commencing late in the afternoon. The adverse weather will last for about 24 hours. Significant improvement is expected the next day by afternoon hours.
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