This year the month of June has been the driest in over a decade in Mumbai, leaving the city with a rain deficit of over 65%. The total of 87 mm of rain was the third lowest monthly total in last 63 years. However, July began on a very good note with heavy spells of more than 100 mm of rain on four occasions and 207 mm of rain recorded on 3rd July alone. Barring one dry day on the 6th of July, rain has been continuous in Mumbai.
Weather in Mumbai will continue to be rainy as the Monsoon surge has finally gained strength. In the last 24 hours, the city recorded 174 mm of rain and more rain is in the offing, particularly for the next 48 hours. According to latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Mumbai also stands a good chance for catching up with the huge rain deficit left behind by June.
With half the month still left, it will not be surprising if Mumbai touches the all-time highest rainfall of 1454.5 mm for July, recorded in 2005.
We can thus conclude that Mumbai remains unaffected by El Nino, which affects the overall Monsoon performance in India, including onset, periodic coverage and withdrawal. In fact, this year the trend followed by Southwest Monsoon has been abnormal or probably unique. Rain actually decreased in major cities right after Southwest Monsoon ushered in. Click here to know more.