Monsoon to arrive by 28th May; surplus rain seen over Kerala in June

May 24, 2013 5:05 PM | Skymet Weather Team

The southeast monsoon 2013 is on its way to hit the Kerala coast during the next three to four days. After the early onset of monsoon, Kerala could see a long phase of rain during which at least 10 mm of rain will be received each day till the 10th of June. Rain could be in between 20 to 30 mm on some of these days. In all, Kerala could see surplus June rain.

Ten days from the onset, monsoon is expected to cover the entire southern Peninsula and some parts of east and entire northeast India. Along with Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Maharashtra (excluding Vidarbha) will see monsoon rains. In east, eastern parts of Bihar, West Bengal and Sikkim will start receiving monsoon rain. Entire northeast will be in its grip till the 10th of June.

Monsoon related rain is also expected to unleash along the West coast in the first week of June including coastal Karnataka, Konkan, Goa and commercial capital Mumbai. Monsoon will reach Mumbai earlier than the due date of 6th of June.

Meanwhile, Mumbai may receive some rain on Sunday as westerly winds are expected to turn into southwesterly near Mumbai. Rain will be light and in patches. Rain is also expected over coastal Karnataka, Konkan and Goa in the coming two days due to the same wind conditions.

The trough of low pressure from Jharkhand to Tamil Nadu remains intact therefore there are chances of rain at a few places over Kerala, south interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu during the next two days. Andhra Pradesh will also receive rain at one or two places during the period.

A cyclonic circulation lies over Jharkhand. Bihar, Jharkhand and Orissa will get rain at one or two places due to this weather system during the next two days. Other such cyclonic circulation lies over Meghalaya with moist winds coming from the Bay of Bengal. Rain will continue at many places in northeast during the period.

Temperatures in Delhi are expected to fall by 2 to 3 degrees during the weekend and heat wave conditions prevailing for past one week will reduce a bit. Due to a high pressure gradient, wind speed will be high and that will help transfer the heat away. Rain is expected in Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh during the next two days. A Western Disturbance over Jammu & Kashmir will be active to usher in the rain.

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