The monsoon rains, which arrived early this year over Kerala, are taking a short break in the South Peninsula for the next 3-4 days. While the rest of the country gears up for active to vigorous monsoon activity, states like Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, interior Karnataka, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu will experience a significant decrease in rainfall.
This comes despite a surplus monsoon for the South Peninsula so far this season. As of June 29th, the national rainfall deficit stands at 14%. While Northwest India, East and Northeast India, and Central India are facing rain deficiency, the South boasts a surplus of 14%. However, this surplus is likely to be short-lived due to the upcoming dry spell.
The upcoming dry spell is expected to hit South India hard, particularly states like Kerala and coastal Karnataka, which are currently deficient in rainfall despite being part of the surplus South Peninsula. This is because the reduced rainfall in these regions will significantly eat away at the overall surplus.
While some marginal increase in rain is expected over the South Peninsula from July 5th onwards, it is unlikely to be enough to meet the daily average rainfall. This means that the next week could be challenging for South India in terms of receiving adequate monsoon showers.
The good news is that the rest of the country can expect a period of active to vigorous monsoon activity. This includes the North, Central, and Eastern parts of India, along with the West Coast. This is likely to bring much-needed relief to regions facing rain deficiencies.
Overall, the upcoming week will see a shift in monsoon activity across India. While the South takes a break, the North, Central, and East gear up for a period of significant rainfall. It's important to stay updated on the latest weather forecasts, especially for those residing in areas expecting a change in monsoon activity.
Image Credit: www.prabhatkhabar.com
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