The Monsoon surge now seems to be more active over the west coast above Kerala, as Konkan, Goa and Karnataka have been receiving good showers. Subdued activity could be seen over Kerala since the past 2 days however, Monsoon rain over Kerala will increase gradually after 24 hours.
Heavy showers in Kerala began to make up for less Monsoon rain in the state, reducing the rain deficit from 40% till 10th of June to 27% at present, but in the last 48 hours rainfall amount has reduced here.
In a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Monday, Kozhikode received 40 mm of rain, Kochi 11 mm, Kottayam 5 mm, Thiruvananthapuram 8.6 mm. Kannaur still received good showers of 82 mm.
Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema will remain practically dry with scanty rain over a couple of places. The moisture brought in by westerly/ south westerly winds will be shed over the windward side of peninsular India.
From the 1st to the 16th of June, rainfall deficiency stands at 48% over Telangana, 25% over Rayalaseema and 10% over Tamil Nadu and Puducherry.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, Southwest Monsoon has been making a slow advancement after making a sluggish start this year. Tropical cyclone ‘Nanauk’ had been restricting the actual outburst of Monsoon in India. After the system weakened and lost its hold over the monsoon current, allowing free flow of westerly winds favourable for the Monsoon surge, rain picked up in South India. Rain will gradually pick up over Kerala but deficiency might not be mitigated considering that 2014 is an El Nino year. El Nino in India has already made a huge impact on date of onset and may also affect the overall monsoon performance, increasing or decreasing rainfall in a region.
picture courtesy- rauff
