Sudden heavy rain in Delhi over the weekend took everyone by surprise. But after65mm of rain recorded in the last two days, monsoon rains may now take a break in Delhi and entire north India for almost a week. “Currently our weather models suggest, there could be little or no rainfall in Delhi till the 24th of June. Intensity of rain may again increase afterwards”, says Mahesh Palawat, head of forecastingat Skymet Weather.
59mm of rain lashed the capital in the last 48 hours and caused major hurdles on the roads. Many parts of north and northwest Delhi (Narela-123mm, Mungeshwar-80mm) recorded rain of up to 200mm within a day.
This time around the rain was sudden and heavy as two major systems, i.e. the western disturbance and a trough of low, travelling from the east of India, towards Haryana and Delhi, collided with each other. And now that western disturbance is moving away and the trough of low has weakened, rains will reduce significantly in the next 24hrs over Delhi and entire north and northwest India, including the hills of Uttrakhand and Himachal Pradesh, where up to 600mm of rain has been recorded in 48hrs.
“Normally monsoon rains are never continuous for more than three to four days over Delhi. After bringing good amount of rain, the monsoon surge often weakens, leaving the weather mainly warm and humid. Therefore this shall be the pattern of rain in Delhi till the 24th of this month”, says Palawat.
Moreover, as the rain becomes less, both maximum and minimum temperatures may also rise and settle around 39⁰C and 28⁰C respectively, at least for the next five days. Days will be partly cloudy to mostly cloudy and the humidity levels may reach up to 90%, causing major irritation. Days ahead could therefore be less cool and much less pleasant.
“As we mentioned in our Monsoon Foreshadow 2013, the month of June could see good amounts of rainfall in Delhi butJuly looks dismal since rain may be below the normal figures. Also, our models indicate that there could be a sharp rainfall deficit because August may witness even lesser rain than July”, informs Jatin Singh, CEO of Skymet Weather.
Meanwhile, heavy to very rain, thundershowers are expected to occur over Pilibhit, Lakhimpur kheri, Bahraich, Srawasti, Gonda, Balrampur, Ahaharanpur, and Sitapur districts of Uttar Pradesh during next 24 hours. Strong winds with speed 50 to 70 Kmph are also expected. Hilly areas of tarai and Adjoining Nepal hills will also get affected.
