Updated on May 22, 2017:
A cyclonic circulation has developed in the Southeast Bay of Bengal. The system is showing positive signs of intensification and is expected to develop into a low pressure area during the next 24 to 48 hours.
Skymet anticipates further intensification of the system as well. In fact, after developing into a low pressure area, the system may end up intensifying into a well-marked low pressure area. The possibility of further development into a depression cannot be ruled out. However, we still have to wait and watch to see what form does the system takes.
The system is likely to move towards the Odisha and the Andhra Coast. Thus, around May 27 or so, good rains are likely over the coastal parts of both Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. Skymet will keep you updated regarding the movement of this system.
Published on May 21, 2017: It has been a while that any weather system has developed over Bay of Bengal. However, a cyclonic circulation did form in South Andaman Sea which had given heavy to moderate rainfall over Andaman and Nicobar Islands. This system failed to intensify into a low pressure and fizzled away. It was evident that this system led to the onset of Monsoon.
Now, a fresh cyclonic circulation has developed over Southeast Bay of Bengal in the lower levels. This system is likely to intensify gradually and may form into a low pressure area during the next 48 hours.
According to Skymet Weather, this system is likely to get strengthen further and may move northeastwards and may reach Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Odisha. With this, weather conditions will become more favorable for the progress of Southwest Monsoon over Southeast Bay of Bengal in next 3 to 4 days.
Under the influence of this, the rainfall activity is likely to intensify initially over the sea regions and gradually over the coastal parts of India.
Meanwhile, the offshore trough of Arabian Sea close to Kerala is likely to become more marked. In wake of this, rainfall activity will increase along the coast of Kerala and Karnataka.
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