Low pressure area over southeast Arabian Sea and Lakshadweep region persist. Cyclonic circulation extends up to 18,000 feet, tilting southwest with height. Yesterday, the system became more intense for a while but receded again. An organized cloud cluster remains associated with the system. The low pressure moved slightly eastward towards Kerala coast but still adequately away from the coastline to cause any disturbing weather conditions.
The low pressure is likely to hold position for another 24 hours. As the system is quite low in latitude, between 6°-8°N, it is unlikely to strengthen. Further , the low pressure move away westward over equatorial latitudes of south-central Arabian Sea, increasing distance from the main land. Subsequently, the low pressure is likely to weaken and get manifested mainly as cyclonic circulation in the lower levels of atmosphere. The circulation is expected to head for west -central Arabian Sea towards Somalia coast.
The presence of low pressure over southeast Arabian Sea has influenced the wind pattern all along Kerala coast and adjoining Coastal Karnataka. Converging winds from the sea will rev up the northeast monsoon activity, lasting for about 48 hours. In addition to Kerala and Coastal Karnataka, decent showers may even reach South Interior Karnataka covering Bengaluru, Mysore, Mandya, Hassan and adjoining region.
No extreme weather conditions are likely over state of Kerala. Moderate rain and thundershowers with isolated places may have heavy rainfall. Lakshadweep Islands including Minicoy, Amini Devi and Agathi may have heavy rainfall in the next 48 hours.