Updated on June 12, 2015 11:35 AM (IST): Cyclonic storm Ashobaa to make landfall by Friday afternoon
The Cyclonic storm Ashobaa has now weakened into a depression and has moved further away from the Indian coast. At about 5.30 AM (IST), it was situated about 60 km East/Northeast of Masirah in Oman.
The weather system is likely to weaken further into a well-marked low pressure area before making landfall by Friday afternoon. As its effect has become negligible over the Indian subcontinent, a fresh Monsoon surge is bringing good showers over the west coast of India.
Updated on June 11, 2015 11:30 AM (IST): Cyclonic storm Ashobaa weakens
After remianing stationary since morning, cyclonic storm Ashobaa has started to show signs of weakening. The system is likely to make a landfall tonight as it continues to move towards the coastal areas between Ras Al Hadd and Masirah Island. The system will move at a wind speed of 50-55 kmph at the time of landfall, which is currently moving at a speed of 85-90 kmph.
As the system is disintegrating rapidly, it is likely to give more rain in Oman that received rain yesterday due to the storm.
The cyclonic storm Ashobaa is moving in the west-northwest direction and is currently centered around 21.3°N and 62.1°E. The storm is just 300 km away from Sur in Oman. It has shifted away from the Indian coast and is likely to cross the northern coast of Oman by the evening/night of June 11. The system is punched with wind speed of 90-100 kmph gusting up to 120 kmph.
The cloud configuration shows continuous intensification of the system, which is very similar to a severe cyclonic storm. The atmospheric and environmental conditions are favourable for further strengthening of the storm. For instance, the sea surface temperature is around 30°C and light wind shear is present in the vicinity of the system.
The system is likely to weaken due to winds coming from the land causing entrainment, while the Gulf of Oman will sustain the strength of the storm. Therefore, the system will weaken into a cyclonic storm before making landfall. Heavy rainfall accompanied with high velocity winds have already started affecting the coastal areas of Oman.
Latest satellite images suggest the gradual intensification of the cyclonic storm Ashobaa, which can strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm any moment.
According to Skymet, the system is having all the essential features of a severe cyclonic storm that include spiral clouds, feeder band and outflow of the system.
The system is moving northwestwards and is punched with the wind speed of 90 kmph gusting up to 110 kmph.
Cyclonic storm Ashobaa is now heading towards Oman coast and is about 550 km east-southeast of Sur, Oman.
Updated on June 9, 2015 11:03 AM (IST): Cyclone storm Ashobaa shifts away from the Indian coast
Cyclone storm Ashobaa over east-central Arabian Sea has further shifted away from the Indian coast, as the system continues to move in north-northwest direction.
At present, it is centered 20°N and 65°E, around 830 km west of Mumbai and 570 km west-southwest of Veraval, Gujarat.
The system still have the potential to gain more strength and further intensify into a severe cyclonic storm during the next 24 hours.
The weather system is now likely to head towards Oman and Persian coast and presently lies about 640 km east-southeast of Sur, Oman and 800 km east-southeast of Muscat.
During the span of past 24 hours, it has given good rainfall over Karnataka, Maharashtra and coastal parts of Gujarat.
Deep depression over east-central Arabian Sea has intensified into cyclonic storm, named ‘Ashobaa’.
The system is currently positioned at 17.9°N and 67.2°E, around 590 km west-southwest of Mumbai and 470 km southwest of Veraval, Gujarat.
It is moving north-northwestwards, with the wind speed of 75 kmph gusting up to 90 kmph.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, system is expected to gain more strength and intensify into a severe cyclonic storm during the next 36 hours.
Updated on June 8, 2015 10:00 AM (IST): Tropical storm brewing in Arabian Sea
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the weather system over east-central Arabian Sea has intensified further. Satellite images are showing cloud configuration, which is similar to that of a tropical cyclone.
The system is centered at 17.7°N and 67.7°E, around 550 km west-southwest from Mumbai. Presently, it is moving north-westward at a speed of 15 kmph, shifting slightly away from the Indian coast.
Though weather agencies across the world have declared the system as tropical storm, but India’s nodal agency is yet to announce it.
As per the latest forecast by Skymet, the system has the potential to intensify further, however, posing no threat to Indian coast. The weather system is heading north and is likely to affect Oman and Persian Gulf.
The weather system in Arabian Sea has gained strength and has developed into a deep depression. According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the system is intensifying rapidly and the cloud configuration is indicating all the features of a tropical storm.
We now expect the weather system to strengthen into a tropical storm shortly.
Updated on June 7, 2015 3:20 PM (IST): Low pressure area in Arabian Sea strengthens into depression
Low pressure area that has been prevailing over east-central Arabian Sea has strengthened into a depression. The system is currently centered at 15°N and 68.3°E and is around 650 km southwest from Mumbai.
The system, which is now moving towards north, is dumping enough rain over the sea and in lieu of this coastal parts of Maharashtra are witnessing light precipitation.
According to Skymet Meteorology Division in India, the system has potential to further intensify into a deep depression and thereafter into a tropical storm during next 24 hours. If it forms into a cyclone, it will be named Ashobaa.
As the system move northward, it will move into the cool water of Arabian Sea that generally does not support the intensification of such systems. But we need to wait and watch before reaching any conclusion.
This weather system has been responsible for the onset of Southwest Monsoon over Kerala on June 5 and its further advancement. Kerala had witnessed heavy rainfall on June 5 and 6 on account of the system.
But as the system shifted slightly away from the coast, intensity of rain over Kerala, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu also reduced. According to Skymet, Monsoon rain will pick up once again after next three days.