According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, a cyclonic circulation in north Andaman Sea may become stronger to emerge as a low pressure area by weekend.
Weathermen at Skymet Meteorology Division in India say that the location and time are favourable for the strengthening of such weather system into a tropical storm or cyclone. However, they will keep a watch on the weather system during the next 24 hours, which first appeared on Monday. This might turn into this season's first tropical storm or cyclone in the Bay of Bengal.
Weathermen are of the view that a strong weather system just two weeks before the normal onset date could delay the arrival of the Southwest Monsoon. They explain that since a cyclone takes away lots of energy, it could take time to fill the energy which pushes moist southwesterly winds towards India to give monsoon rain. However, they claim that if the weather system brewing in the Bay of Bengal remains a depression, it will be very useful and could really help the Southwest Monsoon in India to reach on time.
After evolving as a stronger system towards the weekend, there are 50 percent chances of the weather system re-curving and moving towards Myanmar coast, while there is 30 per cent chance of the system heading towards Bangladesh. There are only 20 per cent chances that the weather system will reach the east coast of India. If it heads towards India it may affect north Odisha and adjoining West Bengal at the start of next week.