Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka have been receiving good showers and the intensity is likely to increase during next 48 hours. Coastal parts of north Maharashtra and adjoining Gujarat, on the other hand, could witness a slight decrease in rain after 24 to 36 hours.
The monsoon surge keeps on fluctuating and now seems more active over the west coast, particularly Konkan, Goa and Karnataka. According to the latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, rain in South India has picked up considerably from the 11th of June. But this increase in rain still hasn't been able to make up for the deficit in South India.
Deficiency in the National Cumulative Average monsoon rain, from the 1st to the 16th of June, has been increasing and now stands at a whopping 49%. On a whole South India is facing a rain deficit of about 28% while the deficiency was 24% till the 14th. Coastal Karnataka is deficit by 46% while Konkan and Goa by 52%. North Karnataka also faces a rain deficit of 34%.
Looking at the figures we can conclude that intensity of rain is increasing but deficiency seems to be overriding as the west coast of South India receives very heavy showers, especially in the initial phase of Southwest Monsoon.
In a span of 24 hours from 8.30 am on Monday, Panaji in Goa received 99 mm of rain, Karwar 154 mm, Honavar 52 mm and Mangalore 136 mm of rain.
Heavy showers in Kerala began to make up for less Monsoon rains in the state, reducing the rain deficit from 40% till 10th of June to 27% at present. As Konkan, Goa and coastal Karnataka are up for good rain now, we expect these areas to make up for some deficiency. In the next 10 days, rain will increase over the country but it may fail to cover up the deficit completely.
