Moderate to heavy rains have occurred over many parts of Kerala during the last 24 hours. While Kozhikode received 74 mm rains, Kannur 39 mm, Thrissur 7 mm, Karipur 44 mm, Kottayam recorded 53 mm of rains.
In fact, good rains are going on over Kerala since the last two to three days now. A Cyclonic Circulation over Lakshadweep and adjoining areas is responsible for these rain activities. Today also, we expect moderate rains with one or two heavy spells to continue over Kerala.
Thereafter, as the weather system will move further in Northwest direction away from Kerala, rain activities will reduce significantly tomorrow and day after i.e. on October 18 and 19. On October 20, there may be a slight increase in rain activities over the state yet again. Further increase in rains will be seen around October 21 and 22.
So, we can say that after a short break rains will once again resume with even greater intensity over Kerala around October 21. On October 22 and 23, the rains might increase further. This will be the effect of a Low Pressure Area which might soon develop over Southwest Bay of Bengal. It will have a pull effect over winds and moisture incursion will be taking place from Indian Ocean as well as Arabian Sea over Kerala. During that time, rain activities will be moderate with one or two heavy spells.
Although flood-like situation is ruled out, precaution must be taken as many parts of Kerala may receive heavy to very heavy rains during that time.
Image Credits – The Indian Express
Any information taken from here should be credited to Skymet Weather