January and February are the two major months which receive weather activity in Winters. Although, most of these weather activities remain confined to North and East India. Central and South India do not see any major weather activity in these months.
However, the overall record for January is not that encouraging. Looking at the records, good rainfall has been received only on two occasions since 2013 to 2019. While 2017 received good rains, normal rains were received in 2014.
Only one year i.e. 2017 saw heavy rainfall activities. The pan-India normal figure for rains stand at 18.8 degrees. 2017 saw 40% excess rains and received 26.9 mm rains instead. Last year remained short by 4% rains.
However, this time the weather forecasters at Skymet are forecasting rains which might overtake the record for 2017 as well. This January might overtake the rain record for 2012 and 2008 at 26.5 mm and 25.8 mm respectively. In fact, this January might be the only month after 2005 (39.8 mm) that receives this much rain.
As of now, already 24.2 mm rains have been received in the country. So far, the average rain is already excess by 105%.
The rains are not yet for the month as one another weather system in the form of a Western Disturbance is going to approach the Indian subcontinent soon. The upcoming weather activity is forecast around January 27 and might remain confined to the hills in the next few days. This weather activity is likely to last until January 28 or 29 and might cover a few regions in Northern Plains as well by this time.
Odisha, some parts of Telangana and coastal Andhra Pradesh might also see rains by January 30.
Image Credits – Bali
Any information taken from here should be credited to Skymet Weather