Southwest Monsoon covered the hills of North India in one go itself. Before Monsoon, Pre-Monsoon showers were also on the higher side for the hills of North India. In fact, with these Monsoon and Pre-Monsoon rains, the month of June ended with a rainfall surplus of 64 percent for Jammu and Kashmir, and 24 percent for Himachal Pradesh. Uttarakhand was a tad low at -3 percent.
For rainfall in the state of Jammu and Kashmir, the Monsoon systems alone are not able to give enough rains over these areas nor are the Western Disturbances, both need triggers to be able to give rains. Meanwhile, Himachal Pradesh sees a mix of Western Disturbances as well as Monsoon currents, so does Uttarakhand.
The month of July gave a couple of good spells of rain over the state of Jammu and Kashmir which also resulted in flooding conditions, but that was it. The three states of hills have not recorded heavy rains. Moreover, we are halfway through the Monsoon season, and the gravity of the situation has not reached to the extent where levels of panic in terms of ferocious rains are seen for longer durations.
By July 10, the excess rains from June started to be consumed and the surplus dropped to 23 percent over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh dropped to -2 percent, and Uttarakhand dropped to -12 percent.
Hereafter, only slippages in rains were witnessed and all the three states have become negative at present. Another couple of days, only the foothills of these states including the cities of Una, Shimla, Dehradun, Sundernagar, Jammu, Nainital and Mussoorie may see rains while other parts of the hills will remain dry.
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