Heavy rains are likely over state of Rajasthan during this week and spilling over to next one, as well. Southeastern parts first and southwest region later will be lashed with fairly widespread rain and thundershowers, heavy at many places. Saturating rains are expected over the arid posts of border areas like Barmer and Jaisalmer. Also, soaking spell is likely all along the contiguous border areas of Kutch in Gujarat and Rann of Kutch.
State of Rajasthan was earlier ravaged by cyclone Biparjoy, with untimely inclement weather conditions during 3rd week of June. Western parts were smashed with larger fury than the rest. Deluge of unseasonal rains spoiled the rainfall distribution, very early in the season. Month of June ended up with a huge surplus of 287% rainfall for West Rajasthan and a large excess of 118% for the eastern half. There have been sporadic rains, even thereafter, more so for the East Rajasthan during the start of July. And, yet another prolonged spell, albeit staggered and scattered , is likely. The wet spell commences with weather activity over the southern parts today and spreads gradually to touch most part, over the next 4-5 days.
There is a cyclonic circulation over Saurashtra and Kutch in the lower levels. Monsoon trough is running south of its normal position across the central parts of Rajasthan. The Convergence of these two features will start the weather activity. Places like Dungarpur, Banswara, Pratapgarh, Jhalawar, Chhittorgah and Baran will be at risk of receiving heavy thundershowers. Weather activity will extend covering the eastern parts by tomorrow and the border areas, including Barmer, Jaisalmer and Phalodi, by day after. Two more days, 09th and 10thJuly, will be risky for many parts of the state. While, intense weather activity will mostly remain confined to southwest Rajasthan on 09th July, the spread will be bigger and intense, across the state from northeast to southwest, the next day. Pali, Sirohi and Jalore divisions can expect hazardous weather on the 09thJuly. Bigger area covering Jhunjhunu, Alwar, Jaipur, Ajmer, Nagaur, Pali, Rajsamand , Jalore, Sirohi and neighboring region can expect strong weather activity on 10thJuly.