Heavy Rainfall Over Rajasthan, Week-Long Activity Likely

The state of Rajasthan is coming up for widespread rainfall activity over the next week. Unlike the previous episode, East Rajasthan will have a larger share of fierce monsoon activity. Persistent activity may lead to localized issues of waterlogging, impacting connectivity and commuting. Some parts of the state are already saturated with frequent downpours. Most of the districts of the state have surplus rainfall except very few in the southern parts like Banswara, Dungarpur and Sirohi. The majority of the districts have excess rainfall to the tune of 50%-60%. Few of these like Tonk and Jaisalmer are surplus by over 100% rainfall, a very rare event for the least rainy state during monsoon.

The monsoon trough has been parked constantly over the northern half of the state for many days now. An embedded cyclonic circulation is marked over Northeast Rajasthan and South Haryana. That is what is holding close proximity of trough to the state. The first week of August has brought in plenty of rain over the state. Earlier, the western half succumbed to vigorous monsoon activity and now, for the last few days, the goal post has shifted to the northeastern and northern parts of the state.

Heavy rains are likely over northeast and eastern parts of the state till mid-week next and reduce thereafter. Heavy rains will cover some western parts of the state also, on a few days during this period. Locations at risk will include Jaipur, Alwar, Ajmer, Dholpur, Bharatpur, Swai Madhopur, Dausa, Kota, and Bundi. Heavy rain and thundershowers are expected at many places between 09^th and 14^th August. The rains will spill over to the border parts and western half covering Bikaner, Jodhpur, Churu and adjoining parts between the 12^th and 14th of August. The weather activity will reduce from 15^th August onward. Thereafter, the monsoon trough is likely to shift north, a little away from the state, closer to the foothills of Punjab, Haryana and West Uttar Pradesh. Heavy rainfall belt will also shift accordingly, along with the monsoon trough.

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