According to latest weather update by Skymet Meteorology Division in India, moody Monsoon may strengthen over the west coast of peninsular India in the next 24 hours, due to a trough, bringing good monsoon showers along the Kerala and Karnataka coast. On the other hand dry Maharashtra ( particularly Madhya Maharashtra) may also witness some scattered rainy in the next 48 hours because of an increase in the westerly surge from the Arabian Sea. The month of July may bring some rainy news for south Gujarat too.
Karnataka & Kerala
Rain has almost been nil in most places along the Karnataka and Kerala coast for the last three to four days and the last heavy shower tha was witnessed was around 22nd and 23rd June. Less rain has led to a rise in deficit from 20% to 26% in Kerala and 30% to 38% along Karnataka coast. However, the deficit is once again likely to drop as monsoon may pick up.
In the last 24 hours Bangalore and Mangalore were the only two cities to have recorded rain. Bangalore received heavy monsoon showers of 26.4 mm after two weeks of dry weeks. Weathermen tell us south interior Karnataka could continue to receive rain for 24 hours and the weather may go dry thereafter.
Barring rain at Kerala and Karnataka coast, weather in South India will be mostly dry. The cyclonic circulation which brought rain to Odisha, Andhra Pradesh in the last two days has now moved further inland into Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal.
Madhya Maharashtra & South Gujarat
Skymet predicted that July may bring some hope for parched areas of Maharashtra and Gujarat after days of dry weather and rising temperatures. And our predictions are coming true. Weathermen tell us a slight increase in the westerly surge (moisture laden winds) from the Arabian Sea may bring light scattered rain to Madhya Maharashtra, in cities like Satara, Mahabaleshwar, Latur and Osmanabad, and to south coastal Gujarat in cities like Surat and Bhavnagar in next 48 hours.
Meanwhile Mumbai and Vidarbha may also get lucky this week. Rain is expected to occur here from 5th July onwards. Weather in Maharashtra on a whole has been dry for approximately ten days.
On the other hand, south and central Madhya Pradesh, including capital city Bhopal may also receive rain around 5th or 6th July. Monsoon line has been stagnant for days now and is yet to cover west Madhya Pradesh.
With no rain since 17th June, rain deficit in south Gujarat is a whopping 70%, whereas in Madhya Maharashtra is marginally less, at 67%. Mumbai lies in the Konkan region where the rain deficit has mounted to 60%.
“Most places are in dire need of Monsoon rain and we are hoping this week to bring some positive changes in the weather in India”, says meteorologist Mahesh Palawat.