The month of January has remained dry for the hills of North India. All the three hilly states have been observing a deficiency of close to a 100 percent. This is the most active period for the hills in terms of rain and snow, however, factually, the region has remained completely dry.
The absence of any active Western Disturbance can be blamed for no rain and snow show. Usually, the month of January these disturbances are rather frequent. This year, the systems have been frequent but along with being feeble, they have been tracking rather northwards. In fact, this January can be considered as one of the driest months from snowfall point of view.
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The weather activity, whenever it occurs, is more intense over the state of Jammu and Kashmir, followed by Himachal and Uttarakhand, the latter being the least active pocket.
Check out the live lightning and thunderstorm status across the hills of North India
Currently, an active Western Disturbance is over North Afghanistan and adjoining Pakistan region. Its induced system is over Central and West Pakistan. As per model indications, the primary system over the higher latitudes will clear away at a very fast pace without having too much effect over the hills.
Hwoever, the induced cyclonic circulation will travel across the plains including Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and Uttar Pradesh causing rain over these areas after a gap of over 40 days.
This system is tracking northeastwards and is expected to affect the hills including Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh and Jammu and Kashmir. The state of Uttarakhand will receive the most amount of rains among the three while Jammu and Kashmir will observe very little rains.
In fact, widespread rain is expected over Uttarakhand with isolated heavy showers. Meanwhile, scattered moderate rains with isolated heavy showers may occur over Himachal Pradesh. The possibility of snow over the higher reaches over both these states cannot be ruled out.
Image Credit: Indian Express
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