Despite the weakening of the Western Disturbance, rains are expected to increase over the hills of North India. The most obvious reason for this is the onset of Monsoon over Uttarakhand and in parts of Himachal Pradesh as well as Jammu and Kashmir, which will keep the rains going over these hilly states. The easterly winds from the Bay of Bengal will also increase the moisture levels, thus making the conditions favourable for rains.
According to Skymet Weather, Monsoon has already arrived in Uttarakhand and in some parts of Himachal Pradesh. A few parts of Jammu and Kashmir have also been covered. Hence, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand will experience Monsoon rains with increased intensity now. Moreover, we expect Monsoon to cover most parts of Uttarakhand as well as some more parts of Himachal Pradesh and Jammu and Kashmir during the next few days. Thus, moderate rains will keep lashing the duo states of Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand for the next 24 hours. However, as the influence of Monsoon remains comparatively lesser over Jammu and Kashmir, the state would observe isolated light rains only. But, as time progresses, the intensity will slowly increase and scattered moderate showers would be observed.
Meanwhile, by July 5 or 6, the intensity of Monsoon rains will significantly increase over Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand and a few heavy to very heavy spells may lash these regions. During this period, the chances of waterlogging cannot be ruled out. There is also a possibility that rains may cause some sort of difficulty in ongoing Amarnath Yatra.
Further, these on and off rainfall activities are expected to continue until July 8 over the hills of North India. Thereafter, rains will taper over the region. During this entire rainy episode, back to back feeble Western Disturbances would keep hitting the region.
Thus, we can say that the hilly states of Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand are all set to get good Monsoon rains.
Image Credits – The Shillong times
Any information taken from here should be credited to Skymet Weather