Fresh western disturbance is approaching Jammu & Kashmir and Ladakh region. The main system is currently over North Pakistan. The upper air trough of this system is marked between 60°E and 65°E, north of 30°N. The clouding associated with the forward section has reached the extreme northern parts of J&K and Ladakh. The weather activity will remain confined to the higher reaches of these areas, today. The spread of activity will cover almost all parts of these two states and also reach the state of Himachal Pradesh, tomorrow and the day after.
Higher reaches of Kashmir already received snowfall on 11th Nov and some tall ranges of Himachal Pradesh received light snowfall the next day. The current system, though is a weak one, but stronger than the previous one. Mid and higher reaches of Kashmir and Himachal will receive scattered, light to moderate snowfall and the lower hills will get rain and thundershowers. The weather activity may even reach the foothills of these two states.
After the passage of the system, the temperature is likely to drop across the northern mountains, significantly. The dry and cold northwesterly winds will blow down the slopes of snow-clad mountains and reach the plains of North India. The mercury level will dip by 3-4°C across the region, early next week. Pathankot, Amritsar, Jalandhar, Chandigarh, Karnal, and Ambala are likely to record minimum temperatures in the low teens for the first time in this season, early next week. Even, the national capital will find a significant dip in the temperature, both, day and night. Delhi and its suburbs are likely to record under 15°C minimum temperature for the first time in this season, between the 18th and 20th of 2024.
With the drop in temperatures, light wind pattern and high humidity during the late night and morning hours, frequent incidents of thick and dense fog are likely across the northern plains. The national capital will also observe similar conditions during this period. As there is no likelihood of another system over the mountains and the plains in the third week of November, the seasonal dry cold is expected to catch up over the plains of Punjab, Haryana, North Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh and Delhi.