Southwest Monsoon made an onset over Kerala four days prior to its normal date on May 28. While the arrival of Monsoon was late over the Andaman and Nicobar Islands due to the development of back to back cyclones, Kerala saw Monsoon rains a tad bit early.
However, the countdown of Monsoon starts only on June 1 as Monsoon rains are counted since then only. During the initial onset phase of Monsoon, major contribution comes from the West Coast and Northeast India and Monsoon also arrives over these parts in the initial phase itself.
[yuzo_related]
Due to presence of systems in the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea, good rains were seen over west coast and Northeast India. However, after weakening of these systems, rains are likely to slow down for two three days now.
The revival of these rains usually occurs in association of a fresh Monsoon system which mostly form in the Bay of Bengal. Indications are that a fresh cyclonic circulation will appear in the Bay of Bengal in three days and will become more organized thereafter.
Thus, around June 4 or 5, a low-pressure area is expected to form which will activate the Monsoon surge thereby increasing rains over the West Coast, Peninsular India and Northeast India. When the system moves inland, it will not only cause the advancement of Monsoon over more parts of South India and Northeast and East India but also result in rains over Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar and West Bengal.
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Please Note: Any information picked from here must be attributed to skymetweather.com
