A cyclonic circulation is marked over the west-central and northwest Bay of Bengal (BoB), extending up to higher levels of the atmosphere. Under its influence, a low-pressure area is likely to form anytime soon over the same area. The cloud cluster in association with the circulation is suggesting the presence of low pressure, likely to appear over the surface by this evening.
The low-pressure area is expected to become well-marked tomorrow and move a bit closer to the coastline of Odisha and North Coastal Andhra Pradesh. On the following day, on 31st Aug, the weather system is likely to brace the coastline and partly encroach the inland pockets of Odisha and Andhra Pradesh. Thereafter, the low pressure will track westward across the eastern and central parts of the country. Subject to favourable conditions, the system may track further west to reach parts of Rajasthan and Gujarat by next weekend, between 06th and 08th September 2024.
Courtesy, of a series of low-pressure areas, the western end of the seasonal monsoon trough is maintaining far south of its normal position. As this low-pressure tracks along the central parts of the country, the trough will remain to the south, above the friction level of 3000 feet. The life span of low pressure is expected to be 8-10 days. During its active phase, the low pressure will impact weather and result in active monsoon conditions over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Gujarat, albeit in a staggered manner. The tail end of this system may also leave another circulation over the BoB and scope for yet another monsoon disturbance, to repeat sequence.
Image Courtesy: Business Standard