Mild low pressure area is likely to form over Bay of Bengal (BoB) on 24th Nov. Impact of this weather system will be limited to the Bay Islands and spare the eastern coast in toto. Myanmar and its Islands in BoB may witness spike in weather activity. However, no major threat is perceived even over these parts.
Presently, a cyclonic circulation is marked over Gulf of Thailand. It is likely to move westward across the border areas of Thailand and Myanmar, keeping north of Malay Peninsula in the next 24hr. The weather system is likely to enter North Andaman Sea on 24th Nov. There is fair amount of chance for this system to surface as low pressure area over the same region, albeit a weak one, on the same day.
Cyclonic circulation is unlikely to move deep over the Sea. Conditions are not ripe enough for noticeable intensification. Feeble low may cut short the sea travel and move more of north-northwest. The weather system will inch closer to keep proximity with the Gulf of Martaban and South Arakan Coast on 25th and 26th Nov. It is likely to move inland the next day and weaken substantially on 27th Nov. Least weather activity is expected in the subsequent days.
