The first week of August has proved to be the rainiest week, so far. Pan-India rainfall had an excess of 44% rainfall between the 01st and 07th of August. A total of 92.1mm of rainfall was recorded against the weekly normal of 63.8mm. All four homogenous regions registered above-normal rainfall, individually. Courtesy of good rains, the country-wide deficit area has now reduced to a mere 18%, as against the figure of 25% at the end of July. Earlier, the deficit area had mounted to over 30% around mid-July.
The most deficit regions of East & Northeast India and Northwest India were the chief beneficiaries. An excess of 63% and 69% rainfall respectively was recorded during this period. The South Peninsula was the least with merely 12% above normal rainfall. The central region was moderately surplus with an excess of 33% rainfall. Conditions have improved satisfactorily for the eastern states of Bihar, Jharkhand and West Bengal, earlier starting at drought-like conditions. The most deficit and worrying pockets still remain over North India. Punjab has a huge seasonal shortfall of 42% and Haryana has about 30% rainfall, between 01 June and 07 August 2024.
In the next ten days, the rainfall pattern will shift from the previous trend. Monsoon will remain active over Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Chandigarh, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and the Northeast region. Parts of Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh will also have decent monsoon rainfall in a few days. The major losers will be the South Peninsula and Central & Western parts. These parts will include Gujarat, Maharashtra, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Kerala and Tamil Nadu.
The good thing during August, from now onwards will be decent rainfall over some pockets, which lost out earlier during the first half of the season. Over extreme eastern parts of Uttar Pradesh, the districts like Ballia, Ghazipur, Deoria, Azamgarh, Maharajganj, Chandauli and Sant Kabir Nagar are likely to have decent rainfall and shrink the margins of shortfall observed till late in this season. Foothills of Bihar and North Bengal will also have decent monsoon rainfall. The starved districts of Punjab and Haryana will also receive conciliatory rainfall during the next 10 days. These districts will include Barnala, Sangrur, Patiala, Ludhiana, Mansa, Bhatinda, Moga, Faridkot, Muktsar, Fazilka, Hisar, Sirsa, Fatehabad, Bhiwani, Rohtak, Jind, Kaithal and Rewari. The persistent western edge of the monsoon trough with minor north-south oscillation will keep the region monsoon active during the 2nd and 3rd week of August.
Image Courtesy: India.com