An almost dry Kerala was in dire need of some good rains immediately. Thankfully the weather conditions seem to have turned in favour of the state.
According to Meteorologists at Skymet heavy to extremely heavy rain will be observed in Kerala between July 17 and July 22. The intensity will peak between July 18-20 with some really heavy rains being observed in pockets. The remaining days will record moderate to heavy amounts of Monsoon rain. This spell could lead to flood-like situation due to which red alert has already been sounded in the state. Some of the places that could observe flooding rains are Punnalur, Alappuzha, Thrissur, Kozhikode and Wayanad.
Rains in Kerala usually happen on account of two weather systems. One is the Offshore Trough, while the other is a system in the Bay of Bengal. Currently, an Offshore Trough has formed along the West Coast, travelling from Goa up to Kerala. There is also a system brewing in the Bay of Bengal which is likely to be more marked. In view of the Bay of Bengal system strengthening, the Trough is going to become more marked due to which Kerala will witness heavy rains between July 17 -22. Good rains could start lashing Kerala from today itself.
The Southwest Monsoon has been very disappointing for Kerala so far. Taking a look at the rainfall data available with Skymet, the month of June ended with a deficiency of 44%. July did start on a positive note with decent amounts of rain being observed during the first week itself, but they were inadequate for parched Kerala. The deficiency for the period June 1 to July 17 in the state is a whopping 47%.
Kerala is one of the rainiest places in India during the Monsoon season. The average daily rainfall is 23-24 mm, which is humungous. So the state does require heavy rainy spells to fulfil the deficient figures if any. So far there hadn't been any heavy spell in the state and therefore the deficiency kept mounting. But with the forecast of some really good rains, we could see the rainfall deficiency in the state coming down to some extent.
Image Credit:The Economic Times
Any information picked up from here should be attributed to Skymetweather.com