The Southwest Monsoon has finally come to an end. And the picture that we see is certainly not very rosy. According to the data available with Skymet the season has ended with a deficiency of 14%.
But to gauge how it has impacted the agricultural sector we require to go to the district level. As deficient sub-divisions do not mean that all the districts in that region have observed deficient or scanty rains. There may be few districts that have received normal or excess rains and are agriculture intensive, so the impact will be minimal.
Some of the states that have observed very poor rains are Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Haryana and Maharashtra.
For instance, there are 38 districts in Bihar out of which 15 have observed normal rains, while 22 districts are deficient and 1 is scanty. Therefore, the agriculture sector should not be impacted heavily. However, the overall rainfall deficiency in the state has ended at 27%.
Similarly, 31 districts out of 41 in East Uttar Pradesh are deficient. 10 districts are scanty, which is a large number. While in West Uttar Pradesh 3 districts out of 30 have observed normal rains. The number of deficient and scanty districts are 20 and 7, respectively. More number of scanty and deficient districts in these parts of the state will certainly raise some concerns.
In Haryana the overall rainfall deficiency is 37%. The number of districts that have observed normal rains are 2, deficient districts are 17 and scanty are 2.
Likewise the two sub-divisions of Maharashtra are deficient. For instance, Madhya Maharashtra is 33% deficient with 2 districts observing normal rains and 8 being deficient. Marathwada is 39% deficient with 1 district observing normal rains and 7 being deficient.
Scanty sub-divisions or districts are declared when the rainfall deficiency is 60% or above.